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UNOCHA alert No.1 on TC Pat 

UNOCHA Pacific 

8

th

 February 2010 

•

 

Another Tropical Cyclone named PAT is formed in the Northern Cook Islands. It is 
currently Category 1.

 

•

 It 

is located at 11.7 S161.4W, which is just below Manihiki Island and above 

Suwarrow island, as indicated in the TC Pat tracking map with a red star attached.

 

•

 

A TC gale warning is now in force for Suwarrow, Manihiki and Rakahanga islands 
of Northern Cook while a strong wind warning is in force for the rest of the Northern 
Cook Islands. 

 

•

 

It is moving Southeast and expected to gradually turn southwards. If it moves on this 
forecast track (please look at the forecast track map attached, issued by Fiji Met 
Service), it will approach to Southern Cook Islands as well in a few days. 

 

•

 

UNOCHA is in close contact with Cook Islands NDMO to monitor the situation. 

 

 

 

Minako Kakuma

 

UNOCHA 

 

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……………………………………………………………..

 

Special Weather Bulletin Number TWO for Northern Cooks ON TROPICAL CYCLONE PAT 
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Feb 08/0240 UTC 2010 UTC.

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.

 

A TROPICAL CYCLONE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN FORCE FOR 
SUWARROW,MANIHIKI AND RAKAHANGA. A STRONG WIND WARNING IS NOW IN 
FORCE FOR THE REST OF THE NORTHERN COOK ISLANDS. 

 

 

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE PAT CENTRE [995HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 11 DECIMAL 7 SOUTH

 

161 DECIMAL 4 WEST OR ABOUT 080 NAUTICAL MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF 
MANIHIKI AT 080000 UTC. MAXIMUM 10 MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS CLOSE TO THE 
CENTRE ESTIMATED TO 40 KNOTS WITH MOMENTARY GUSTS UP TO 55 KNOTS. 

 

PAT IS CURRENTLY MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS AND EXPECTED TO 
GRADUALLY TURN SOUTHWARDS LATER. 

 

 

 

ON THIS FORECAST TRACK, DAMAGING GALE FORCE WINDS OVER MANIHIKI AND 
RAKAHANGA BUT EXPECTED TO AFFECT SUWARROW IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 
HOURS.

 

 FOR SUWARROW, MANIHIKI AND RAKAHANGA: 

 

 

2

NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 35 KNOTS WITH MOMENTARY GUSTS TO 50 
KNOTS, INCREASING TO 40 KNOTS WITH MOMENTARY GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS IN THE 
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS ESPECIALLY OVER SUWARROW. FURTHER PERIODS OF 
RAIN, HEAVY AT TIMES WITH SQUALLY THUNDERSTORMS. 

 

VERY ROUGH SEAS. MODERATE TO HEAVY SWELLS.

 

FOR THE REST OF NORTHERN COOK ISLANDS:

 

NORTHEAST  TO NORTHWEST WINDS, 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH MOMENTARY GUSTS 
TO

 

35 KNOTS.

 

PERIODS OF RAIN, HEAVY AT TIMES WITH SQUALLY THUNDERSTORMS.

 

ROUGH SEAS. MODERATE SWELLS.   

 

PLEASE ACKNOWLEDGE RECEIPT OF THIS BULLETIN. 

 

THE NEXT SPECIAL WEATHER BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 080830 UTC OR 
EARLIER.   

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

3

 
 

A B C  D E  F   G H   I

J   K L  M N  O P  Q R  S T   U V   

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

Mangaia

Rarotonga

Mauke

Mitiaro

Atiu

Aitutaki

Palmerston

Suwarrow

Penrhyn

Manihiki

Rakahanga

Nassau

Pukapuka

Apia

Pago Pago

Vavau

Haapai

Fua’amotu

Atafu

Nukunono

Fakaofo

TOKELAU

SA

M

O

A

TONGA

NIUE

South

ern

Cook I

slands

 

Northe

rn 

Cook I

slands

10S

15S

20S

25S

170W

165W

160W

155W

175W

TROPICAL CYCLONE OLI TRACKING MAP

Emergency Management Cook Islands

080000UTC