dynamical climate models project the continuation of El
Niño through 2009 and into 2010.
Niuatoputapu and Vava’u is currently in drought. A
drought warning is now current for Ha’apai.
The rainfall totals for October and the outlooks for the
next three months continue to reflect El Nino type
conditions. Rainfall has been below normal across the
country in October, Ha’apai recorded 7.7mm, Vava’u
29.4mm, Niuafo’ou 20.6mm, and Fua’amotu 48.3mm. It
is the beginning of the Wet season (Nov-Apr) and it is
also the cyclone season therefore fluctuations of rainfall
distribution should be expected throughout
Normal
The model generated outlook is providing a strong signal
for above normal rainfall.
Niuatoputapu
Normal
The model generated outlook is providing
a signal for below to normal rainfall.
Ha’apai
a strong signal for rainfall to be normal.
Normal
The model generated outlook is providing
a strong signal for below normal rainfall.
Disclaimer:
end of the month, once climate data is received from recording
stations around Tonga. Delays in data collection,
communication and processing occasionally arise. While
every effort is made to verify observational data, the Tonga
Meteorological Service does not guarantee the accuracy and
reliability of the analysis and rainfall predictions presented,
and accepts no liability for any losses incurred through the
use of this summary and its contents. This information should
be used as a guidance only. All requests for data and for
further information about this forecast should be directed to
the Director of the Tonga Meteorological Service, at P.O. Box
845, Nuku’alofa. Or email at