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GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org
GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Global Risk Identification Programme
Thematic Platform for Risk Assessment
Hyogo Framework for Action - Priority 2
Dr. Jianping YAN, BCPR/UNDP, Geneva
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org
GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Outline
Part I: The Programme
• Goal and objectives
• Scope / components
• Target users / clients
• Country service package
• Country support portfolio
• Programme team
Part II: Application Examples
• Global policy for high-risk countries 
• Climate change adaption
• Disaster, poverty, and development nexus
• National DRR Stategy formulation
• Urban development planning
• Disaster preparedness planning
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GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
What is GRIP?
• Multi-owner initiative led and hosted by 
UNDP
• Thematic Platform for Implementing 
Priority 2 of HFA, within the ISDR 
system
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org
GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
2006
2007
2008
2009
SERVICE PACKAGE
DESIGN
23/10/2006 approval by PSC
FUNDRAISING
03/2007 US$ 7 million raised
Official launching
Side Event
GRIP’s History
PILOT IMPLEMENTATION
REGIONALIZATION
SUPPORT & SERVICE
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GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
• Overall goal:
– Promote sustainable development by reducing the impact of 
natural hazards in high risk areas
• Specific objectives:
– To improve risk information 
– To ensure its application in disaster risk management and 
development processes
Goal and Objectives
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org
GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Understanding of the problem
Risk Assessment
Proper Planning
Evidence-based decision making
Disaster Risk Reduction + Safe 
Development Processes
Effective Actions
The Problem
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GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org
GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Databases 
GLIDE
Analyses
Loss data portal
Loss data portal
Data improvement
Risk info portal
Risk info portal
Methods
Publication
Demonstrations:
-Mozambique
-Sri Lanka
-Ecuador
Criteria:
1. Risk outcome
2. Scientific
3. Decision support
GRIP Outcome Areas
1-3
Loss
Data
High
Resolution
Risk Analyses
In High Risk
Countries
Global
Update
Core 
Capacity
Development
Toolbox 
Training 
Community
CD portal
CD portal
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org
GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Target Clients / Users
• Developing countries
– Country Solution Package
• International DRM/R community
– Thematic applications
– Information services (GRIPWeb)
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GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Assistance provided by GRIP
• Coordination and overview
• Technical support on decision & policy making
• Methodologies and tools
• Training
• Interaction with other countries
• Access to financial support
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org
GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Learning from the past: to understand their vulnerabilities, 
high-affected areas and recovery capacities
Basic risk information and risk baselines: to set up 
measurable goals and prepare evidence-based DRR strategies
Monitoring and evaluation mechanisms: to measure 
progress (or lack of it) and evaluate and correct strategies
Local Capacity: To produce realistic and locally supported 
solutions and ensure sustainability
Identified DRR Needs of Countries
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GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Country Situation Analysis (CSA): Creation of baselines for 
DRM activities and initiation of National Risk Information 
System
National Disaster Observatories (NDO): sustainable 
institutions for systematic collection, analysis and interpretation 
of loss data
National Risk Assessments (NRA): multi-hazard risk 
evaluations to understand the characteristics and distribution of 
risk and identify disaster risk reduction options
Urban Risk Assessments (URA): assessments to support 
urban risk reduction policies and actions
Capacity Development (CRA): all the work is done by local 
institutions, authorities and experts
GRIP’s Services to Countries
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org
GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Country Situation Analysis
• Country hazard and disaster profile;
• Risk assessment studies that have been done in the 
country; 
• Data that can be used in risk assessment;
• Professional expertise and skills existing in the 
country;
• Institutional capabilities and framework; and
• Disaster management strategy, action plans, policy 
and regulations, etc.
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GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
CSA – Outcomes & Applications
• Country profile – Baselines
• Scope and context for NRA
• Engagement mechanism
• Initial National Risk Information System
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org
GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
CSA – Practices
• Ongoing: Mozambique, Madagascar, Nepal, Sri 
Lanka
• Planned:
– ECIS region (UNDP & WMO)
– Asia & the Pacific (World Bank)
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GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
National Disaster Observatory
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org
GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
NDO - Outcomes & Applications
Inputs to the National Disaster Risk Reduction Strategy
– Better definition of goals, priorities and structure of risk reduction 
measures
Calibration and validation of Risk Assessments
– Confronting estimated vs. realized losses
Assessment of vulnerability and recovery capacity
– Physical, social, financial, political vulnerabilities
Monitoring effectiveness of risk reduction strategies and 
measures
– HFA’s goal is reduction of losses
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GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
NDO – Practices
• Existing 
(run by Governments, GRIP or Partners)
• Proposed or underway 
(countries implementing, interested or having Disaster Database)
Asia
Sri Lanka, Tamil Nadu, Orissa, Indonesia, Iran, Maldives, Thailand, Nepal
LAC
Mexico, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Colombia, Ecuador, Peru, Bolivia, Venezuela, Argentina, 
Chile, Paraguay, Panama
Asia
Armenia, Afghanistan, Bhutan, Cambodia, Laos, PNG*, Vietnam*
Africa
Mozambique, Malawi, Madagascar
LAC
Nicaragua*, Guatemala*, Honduras*, Jamaica*, Cuba, Trinidad and Tobago*, Guyana*, 
Antigua & Barbuda, Uruguay, Organization of Eastern Caribbean States  
* Have national disaster databases
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org
GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
National Risk 
Assessments
Quality 
Control
Compatible
National, regional, global
Sustainable
Regularly updated
Institutionalized
Local capacity building
Common standards
Multi-hazard
Applied
Local actions
National Risk Assessment
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GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Outcomes & Applications
National Risk Information System
– Collected information, findings and results are integrated and made 
available to all end users
Delineation or revision of the National Disaster Risk 
Reduction Strategy
– Definition of goals, priorities and effective actions for risk reduction. 
Existing strategies can be evaluated and improved
Strengthening of the National Disaster Risk Reduction 
System 
– All major risk management actors work closely together, generating 
awareness, partnerships and arrangements. Roles and responsibilities 
are clearly defined 
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org
GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
NRA: Risk profiles 
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GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Urban Risk Assessment
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org
GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Planning development
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GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Outcomes and Applications
• City Risk Information System
• Contingency plans - Pre-disaster shelter planning
• Disaster risk reduction action plans
• Incorporation of risk management in urban planning
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org
GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
• Framework
• Guidelines
• Thematic methodologies
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GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
GRIP countries
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org
GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
UNDP Risk assessment portfolio
Region
No. of countries
Total RA Budget
Africa
6
$1,116,400
Arab States
1
$23,000
Asia Pacific
9
$2,553,000
Europe-CIS
2
$247,000
LAC
2
$317,250
$4,256,650
13 other countries are preparing proposals
GRIP is assisting 26 countries
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GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
GRIP Country Support Portfolio
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org
GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Regionalization
SE Europe - Sarajevo
- January - 2009
- ~ 80 participants
- 9 countries
South Asia - Colombo
- March- 2009
- ~ 100 participants
- 7 countries 
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GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
GRIP Team
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org
GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Programme Steering Committee
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GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Expert working groups
Disaster loss data
– CRED, Munich-Re, ADRC, La Red, ISDR,UNDP
Munich – Feb 08
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org
GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Implementing partners
Governments:
•Centro Nacional de Prevención de Desastres (CENAPRED)
•CENOE, Moz
•INGC, Moz
•National Disaster Management Coordinating Board of Indonesia
•National Institute of Disaster Management, India
•Orissa State Disaster Management Authority, India
•Government of Uttar Pradesh
•State of Tamil Nadu, Government of India
•Department of Urban Development and Building Construction, Government of 
Nepal
•Regional Government of Arequipa
•State Government of Baja California, Mexico
•Government of Tijuana, Mexico
•Government of Chile
•Government of Myanmar
•Government of Republic of Dominicana
•Ministry of Civil Defense of Guyana
•Ministry of Defence and Finance, Government of Maldives
•Ministry of Interior, Government of Iran
•Municipality of Illam
•Municipality of Kathmandu
•Municipality of Maputo
•Municipality of Panauti
•Government of Mexicali, Mexico
•Government of Rosarito, Mexico
•Government of Tecate, Mexico
•Government of Ensenada, Mexico
•Municipality of Iquique, Chile
•Municipality of Arica, Chile
•Municipality of Antofagasta, Chile
•Municipality of Mejillones, Chile
•Municipality of Taltal, Chile
•Regional Government of Antofagasta, Chile
•Regional Government of Tarapaca, Chile
•Municipalidad de Pampacolca, Peru
•Municipalidad de Viraco, Peru
•Municipalidad de Machahuay, Peru
•SENAMHI, Peru
•INRENA
NGOs/INGOs:
•OSSO
•NSET
•COPASA
•La Red
•RADIUS Working Group, Mexico
•IFRC
•ADRC
•NGI
•OYO International
•ProVention Consortium
•ISDR
Academia:
•NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (operated by 
CIESIN)
•University of California at San Diego (UCSD)
•Universidad Autónoma de Baja California (UABC)
•Instituto Tecnológico de Tijuana (ITT)
•Dartmouth Flood Observatory
•Universidad Catholica del Norte, Chile
•University Eduardo Mondlane, Mozambique
•University of Florida
•University of West Indies
•CETYS Universidad
•CRED
•Columbia University
•CICESE, Mexico
•Colegio de la Frontera Norte (COLEF)
•Instituto Geofísico de la UNSA , Peru
UN system:
•UNDP BCPR
•UNDP (24 Country Offices)
•WMO
•UN Habitat
•UNEP/GRID
•UNESCO
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GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Part II: Application  Examples
• Global policy for High-Risk Countries
• Climate change adaptation
• Disaster, poverty, and development nexus
• National DRR strategy
• Urban development planning
• Disaster preparedness planning
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org
GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
The impact of disasters
In 2008, 
354 natural disasters were reported
235,000 persons were killed (138,366 by Cyclone Nargis, 
Myanmar)
More than 214 million people were affected 
(~ 18 times Ecuador’s 
population!)
USD 190 billion in economic damages 
(~ 15 times Nepal’s GDP!)
Note: These are only 
major reported events 
(
10 killed, 
100 affected, 
state of emergency, call for international assistance)
Source: Annual Disaster Statistical Review, CRED, 2009
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GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Global distribution of mortality risk
China, India, Bangladesh, Egypt, Mozambique, Turkey, Afghanistan, El Salvador, 
Kenya, Iran, Pakistan, Indonesia, Peru, Democratic Republic of Congo, Poland, 
Vietnam, Colombia, Venezuela, Tajikistan, Cambodia
1992-2003, $ 2 billion (out of 2.5 billion) of costs of responding to
international emergencies went to just 20 countries 
(OCHA)
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org
GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Global distribution of financial risk
India, Turkey, Bangladesh, Mexico, Argentina, Brazil, Poland, Colombia, Iran, 
Honduras, China, Chile, Zimbabwe, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Algeria, Ecuador, 
Mozambique, Philippines, and Vietnam
1980-2003, of $14.4 billion in WB emergency recovery loans, $12 
billion went to just 20 countries 
(WB)
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GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Disaster-related 
mortality risk
Underweight 
children
Epidemic meningitis
Epidemic malaria
Source: Columbia University
Disaster risk and the MDGs:
Disaster impacts have become impediments to sustainable 
development in Africa 
(Report on Disaster Risk Reduction for Sustainable Development in Africa, 2004)
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org
GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Dimensions:
15 km: East - West
8 km:  North  - Sur
Climate change adaptation
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GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Nevado 
Coropuna 
glacier 
coverage 
for 1955 
(outline in 
black) and 
2003 (in 
orange 
outer 
boundary).
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org
GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Guidelines for CC adaptation 
in agricultural  poduction 
Incorporation of 
adaptation in 
development 
plans
Tangible results
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GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Poverty Alleviation
• 12 countries in LAC and Asia
• National Disaster 
Observatories managers
• Human Development Report 
groups
Disasters and Poverty 
Alleviation capacities
Risk patterns and poverty trends 
at the local level
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org
GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Most disaster-prone districts
The Districts of 
Kalutara, Ratnapura, Puttalam, Kurunegala, Anuradhapura
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GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
AGREEMENT OF COOPERATION
between
UNITED NATIONS HUMAN SETTLEMENTS PROGRAMME
Risk Mapping for Strategic Planning of Shelter 
Response in Tijuana, Baja California, México.
H. AYUNTAMIENTO 
TIJUANA B.C.
Antonio Rosquillas  and Luis 
Moreno
Municipio de Tijuana
CENTRO DE INVESTIGACIÓN 
CIENTÍFICA Y DE EDUCACIÓN 
SUPERIOR DE ENSENADA.
Support to humanitarian activities
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org
GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
MUNICIPIO
DE
TIJUANA B.C.
6 possible earthquakes
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GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Damage Evaluation 
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b
b
a
a
a
a
b
b
a
a
a
b
b
b
b
b
a
a
a
a
a
b
b
b
b
a
a
b
a
a
b
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
b
b
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
b
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
Color 
ID
Automatic Range
Manual Range
From
To
From
To
a
0
18
0
18
b
18
35
18
35
c
35
53
35
53
d
53
70
53
70
Distribution of damaged building estimation
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org
GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Results
SAB
CEN
CTO
CCO
CVE
LME
PRE
OTA
PLA
TAB
Total
EQ1
10,000
4,622
8,917
3,282
1,226
5,839
7,276
4,497
6,372
6,246
58,277
EQ2
12,392
4,593
6,853
3,661
3,184
7,012
8,576
3,341
5,335
9,503
64,449
EQ3
3,025
2,792
1,942
2,400
1,360
2,751
8,457
1,266
947
3,648
28,588
EQ4
12,465 10,140 11,085
6,676
1,703
9,942
15,133
7,984
6,019
10,169
91,316
EQ5
4,986
4,504
2,900
4,289
2,581
5,317
16,561
1,993
1,456
6,338
50,925
EQ6
6,411
6,063
5,761
3,581
1,032
4,979
8,437
3,985
3,216
4,979
48,444
Number of persons with shelter needs according 
to six earthquake scenarios
background image
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org
GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Shelter plan
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org
GRIP Introduction for IAP Review Meeting, Bangkok, Thailand, 5-6 November, 2009
Thank you!