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Natural and Conflict Hazards in Asia‐Pacific
United Nations Office for the 
Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs
Regional Office for Asia-Pacific
IFRC
NASA
OCHA’s Goals
- Alleviate human suffering in disasters and emergencies
- Advocate for the rights of people in need
- Promote preparedness and prevention
- Facilitate sustainable solutions
OCHA’s Core Functions
- Humanitarian response coordination
- Humanitarian advocacy
- Policy development
- Management of humanitarian information
- Resource mobilization
OCHA’s Mission
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Disasters in the Asia‐Pacific Region
10,905,584
5,596,000
5,738,891
4,516,855
1,563,808
Sub‐Saharan Africa
Asia Pacific
Mid East & N. Africa
Latin America
Rest of world
Internal Displacement
Monitoring Centre (IDMC)
Timor‐Leste
30,000
Sri Lanka
495,000
Bangladesh
60,000 ‐
500,000
Myanmar
>451,000
Philippines
259,000‐
430,000
Nepal
50,000‐
70,000
India
>500,000
Pakistan
3,000,000
Indonesia
70,000 –
120,000
Totals as of 20‐Aug‐09
Lower estimate                                        Upper estimate 
Displacement in the Region
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2009 Pacific Typhoon Season (1 Jan to 31 Oct)
JTWC
OCHA Global Focus Model (GFM)
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HAZARDS
VULNERABILITY
CAPACITY
OCHA ROLE
Na
tura
l
Hum
a
n-
I
nduc
e
d
So
cio
-
Po
li
ti
cal
C
l
i
m
at
e C
h
an
g
e
P
a
nde
m
i
c
Po
ver
t
y
D
i
sp
l
acem
en
t
Food S
e
c
u
ri
t
y
Wa
t
e
r
D
i
seas
e
E
c
onom
ic
I
n
s
t
i
t
ut
iona
l
In
f
r
ast
r
u
ct
u
r
e
Hum
a
nita
ri
a
n
Cl
us
t
e
r
 Le
a
d
s
Foc
us
Country
Region
3
3
2
1
1
∑
4
2
2
1
1
∑
5
3
2
∑
2
1
2
∑
Somalia
ROSEA
8
9
10
9
8
85
9
9
9
10
7
91
9
10
8
88
263
10
9
10
49
312
Sudan
ROWCA
9
10
10
7
6
89
8
9
9
9
7
85
7
8
8
75
249
7
10
8
40
289
Afghanistan
ROMENACA
6
9
9
8
8
82
9
9
9
10
7
89
6
8
9
71
241
10
10
9
48
289
Congo, DR
ROSEA
4
10
9
7
8
75
9
9
9
6
8
86
8
10
7
83
244
10
9
7
43
287
Haiti
ROLAC
8
5
9
8
8
75
8
5
9
8
7
75
9
8
8
81
231
10
9
10
49
280
Chad
ROWCA
5
9
10
8
9
78
9
7
8
9
9
82
7
8
9
74
235
10
7
7
41
276
Burundi
ROSEA
4
8
8
8
9
71
8
8
9
8
7
84
9
7
9
85
240
8
6
5
32
272
Zimbabwe
ROSEA
5
7
10
7
8
70
7
9
9
8
8
82
10
8
8
89
240
7
9
4
31
271
Ethiopia
ROSEA
6
8
9
8
8
77
8
7
9
9
8
80
7
6
9
69
226
10
10
7
44
270
Eritrea
ROSEA
7
6
8
8
8
72
8
7
9
10
6
81
9
8
9
85
237
5
8
7
32
269
Myanmar
ROAP
7
8
9
7
7
77
7
9
6
6
7
73
5
8
8
67
217
10
10
10
50
267
Central African Republic
ROWCA
4
9
9
6
9
73
9
7
8
4
8
76
7
8
9
78
227
10
7
6
39
266
Guinea
ROWCA
4
6
9
7
8
63
8
3
8
6
7
69
9
8
8
82
214
10
9
10
49
263
Pakistan
ROMENACA
7
8
9
8
6
78
7
9
7
9
6
76
5
6
6
56
211
10
10
9
48
259
Sri Lanka
ROAP
9
10
8
7
5
84
5
9
7
5
3
62
7
6
6
62
208
10
10
10
50
258
Uganda
ROSEA
4
8
8
7
8
68
8
9
9
7
8
81
6
6
9
66
215
10
9
6
41
256
Liberia
ROWCA
4
5
8
7
8
58
9
6
9
5
7
79
9
8
5
80
216
10
9
5
39
255
Nepal
ROAP
6
8
8
7
7
72
7
5
7
7
6
67
6
6
9
69
208
10
10
8
46
254
Niger
ROWCA
6
4
8
8
9
65
9
2
8
10
7
73
7
7
10
75
213
7
8
8
38
251
Mozambique
ROSEA
9
4
7
6
9
66
8
1
9
7
8
69
7
6
8
68
204
7
10
10
44
248
Iraq
ROMENACA
1
9
9
7
6
61
8
9
6
6
6
76
6
8
5
64
201
10
10
8
46
247
Côte d'Ivoire
ROWCA
1
6
9
6
8
55
8
9
8
8
8
83
6
8
7
68
207
10
9
4
37
244
Kenya
ROSEA
4
7
9
7
8
66
7
7
9
8
8
76
5
6
7
60
201
10
10
5
40
241
Bangladesh
ROAP
9
7
9
7
6
77
7
7
8
9
8
74
5
7
8
59
210
2
9
8
29
239
Guinea-Bissau
ROWCA
6
4
8
7
8
59
9
3
8
7
7
70
8
8
9
81
210
4
6
7
28
238
O
C
H
A
 Pr
esen
c
e
TO
TAL RIS
K
FO
CUS
 RATI
N
G
 
'1
0
OCHA
2010 Global Focus
 
Model
DRAFT - 28 Oct 2009 v2
INTERNAL OCHA WORKING DOCUMENT
OCHA Global Focus Model (GFM)
China
India
Bangladesh
Philippines
Vietnam
Thailand
Pakistan
Cambodia
Sri Lanka
Australia
DPR Korea
Indonesia
Lao PDR
Japan
Nepal
Mongolia
Myanmar
Republic of Korea
Bhutan
Malaysia
Maldives
New Zealand
Kiribati
Samoa
Tonga
Vanuatu
Fiji
Solomon Islands
Marshall Islands
Micronesia (FSO)
Tuvalu
Papua New Guinea
China
India
Bangladesh
Philippines
Vietnam
Thailand
Pakistan
Cambodia
Sri Lanka
Australia
DPR Korea
Indonesia
Lao PDR
Japan
Nepal
Mongolia
Myanmar
Republic of Korea
Bhutan
Malaysia
Maldives
New Zealand
Kiribati
Samoa
Tonga
Vanuatu
Fiji
Solomon Islands
Marshall Islands
Micronesia (FSO)
Tuvalu
Papua New Guinea
Countries ranked by people affected 
by natural hazards (1970‐2003)
Countries in this half are ranked higher by total people affected
Coun
t
r
ie
s
 i
n
 t
h
is
 
ha
l
f
 
a
r
e
 ran
k
ed
 h
i
g
h
e
r
 b
y
 p
eop
l
e
 af
f
e
c
t
e
d
 
pe
r 100
,
000
Total Affected
Affected per 100,000
China
Kiribati
India
Samoa
Bangladesh
Bangladesh
Philippines
Lao PDR
Vietnam
Cambodia
Thailand
Tonga
Pakistan
Vanuatu
Cambodia
India
Sri Lanka
Mongolia
Australia
Fiji
DPR Korea
China
Indonesia
Philippines
Lao PDR
Vietnam
Japan
Sri Lanka
Nepal
Solomon Islands
Mongolia
Australia
Myanmar
Marshall Islands
Republic of Korea
Thailand
Papua New Guinea
DPR Korea
Fiji
Micronesia (FSO)
Samoa
Tuvalu
Kiribati
Nepal
Vanuatu
Pakistan
Solomon Islands
Papua New Guinea
Bhutan
Maldives
Malaysia
Bhutan
Tonga
Myanmar
Maldives
Indonesia
Micronesia (FSO)
Japan
Marshall Islands
Republic of Korea
New Zealand
Malaysia
Tuvalu
New Zealand
CRED EM-DAT
Pacific Islands States
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Poverty
Pandemic
Human‐Induced
Socio‐Political
Natural Hazards
Climate Change
OCHA Global Focus Model (GFM)
2005 Global Hotspot Study
• ProVention Consortium
• World Bank
• Columbia University
• Center for International Earth Science 
Information Network (CIESIN)
• International Research Institute (IRI)
• Lamont-Doherty Earth Observation 
(LDEO)
• Norwegian Geotechnical Institute (NGI)
• US Geological Service (USGS)
• United Nations: UNDP, UNEP, OCHA, 
ISDR, WFP
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2009 Natural and Conflict Hazard Study
• Norwegian Geotechnical Institute (NGI)
• Earth Institute at Columbia University
• International Peace Research Institute, 
Oslo (PRIO)
• UNEP / GRID-Europe
• Stene & Lahidji SARL
National Conflict Factors 
National Conflict Factors
- Trigger events
- Distance from national capital
- Proximity to international borders
- Ethnic diversity
- History of past conflict
- Social, political and economic exclusion
- Poverty
- Geography
- Political stability
- Population size
- Occurrence of natural disasters
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Risk Map of Armed Intrastate Conflict
Conflict Prevalence
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Displacement in 2009 (IDMC)
Displacement in 2009 (IDMC)
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Displacement in 2009 (IDMC)
Sub-National Conflict Factors 
Sub-National Conflict Factors
- Socio-economic status
- Ethnic inclusion / exclusion
- Distance from national capital
- History of past conflict
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Sub‐National Risk Map of Intrastate Conflict
Nepal
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Philippines
Where to find out more